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Written by Cornermanden. The author’s opinions and predictions are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of Unibet. Odds and details may change between the time of writing and when placing a bet – always check before betting.

I’m not surprised to see that the most bonkers league in the world has been bonkers this season. Here are my three (non-bonkers) betting picks for League One round 5.

I Believe In Barton
Bristol Rovers v Wycombe Wanderers

I predicted a good season for Joey Barton’s Bristol Rovers this season, and although they are yet to win, I think performances have been there for them this year. I also like their team a lot, with creativity and pace all over the attacking positions. Aaron Collins is a favourite of mine, who is yet to get on the scoresheet. 

Where Rovers want to play high octane football with a high line, Wycombe prefers to sit back and suck up pressure, exploiting set-pieces and counter attacks. I’m very “bearish” on them this season, and think that they are a classical example of a mid table team who won’t have anything to play for come March. Rovers can challenge for a top 6 spot, I think.

My bet here is that the home team wins, simple as. I like 2.20 for the home win here. Score prediction? 2-0.

A Great Day For A Win
Fleetwood Town v Shrewsbury Town

I love a corner bet, as many regular readers will know by now. What I do love more than just betting on corners, though, is betting on corners in a match where the circumstances really allow for it. I think I’ve found just that game here.

Fleetwood Town were predicted to struggle more than last year, but sitting in the relegation spots with three defeats from four games is surely worse than Scott Brown had expected. Performances have not been awful, I must make sure to point out, and they could easily have won at Derby County last Saturday. They’ve also played Bolton away, which is one of the toughest tasks in the league for any team (except Wigan, it seems). 

Shrews have gone through a lot in the summer with many changes in staff and squad. Six points from two games is a decent tally for them, but three of their games have been at home, and all have been against average opposition. I’m curious to see how they perform when they eventually come up against better teams. Fleetwood away is a game that they will have their eyes on for the W, which I think they will do their utmost to get. 

As you can see, I believe that both sides are up for winning the game (maybe more so than in a “usual” fixture), so that we’ll see action at both ends. Over 10.5 corners at 1.87 is my bet in this game.

All About The Price
Cheltenham v Northampton Town

Sometimes I prefer to just put out the cold hard facts and let them speak for themselves. 

That’s what I intend to do in this preview for League One round 5:

• Cheltenham’s goal difference after four games: 0-5.
• Northampton’s goal difference after four games: 4-5.
• Cheltenham’s average xG so far: 0.83.
• Northampton’s average xG so far: 1.10.

Neither team has served their fans with party football, to say the least. Contrary to Fleetwood v Shrewsbury, I think we’ll have a game here where both are nervous and anxious about losing. Obviously, The Robins (Cheltenham) have to win their home games, but they’ve lost some key offensive players who have left them struggling a lot for goals. Alfie May was a particularly big loss when he was sold to Charlton Athletic. 

I think this price is too high, and I keep repeating myself by saying that it’s genuinely all that matters in betting. In this case I think the correct odds for under 2.5 goals is a lot closer to 1.65, so that gives us value at 1.80 (asian). It could well go over, but we surely have some value on this selection.

Conclusion

Some different picks from me for League One round 5:

• Bristol Rovers-Wycombe Wanderers. Home win @ 2.20.
• Cheltenham-Northampton. Under 2.5 goals @ 1.80.
• Fleetwood-Shrewsbury. Over 10.5 corners @ 1.87.

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