Written by Cornermanden. The author’s opinions and predictions are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of Unibet. Odds and details may change between the time of writing and when placing a bet – always check before betting.

The best and most competitive league in the world returns this weekend! For that reason I’ve found some really enticing and very interesting value betting picks that I want to share with you, so that you might get some inspiration in your own research. Here are my 10 best betting picks for the Premier League Outrights for the 2023/24 season.

Best team in London: Arsenal @ 1.65.

Arsenal have probably been one of the few sides in the Prem this summer that I think have acted in an adult, mature way, going about their business in a clever and responsible fashion. Keeping all of their key players – Xhaka being the only exception – and signing a few big guns, makes me confident that the Gunners are in a very good position once again, potentially to even challenge Man City for the title.

It’s not the strongest Premier League in terms of the respective teams’ quality, so it’s a golden chance for a team like Arsenal to stake a claim and improve even more. Declan Rice and Thomas Partey look to be a very strong duo in the bigger games, where the defence will need more protection, and they are star spangled at the top end of the pitch as well. Champions League awaits for Arsenal, but I think they’ve shown that they are capable of playing midweek-weekened-midweek-weekend without too much of a problem, so I’m not worried about that.

Moreover, Chelsea are in an interesting position, going through a summer with a lot of changes and player movements. The same must be said for Tottenham, and I don’t think anyone with their sanity intact could mean that Brentford, Fulham or West Ham can challenge Arsenal. Chelsea are, as I said, in an interesting position, but they are still a few years behind Arsenal in the development process. That’s why I think this is one of the safest bets of the season. Correct price is something closer to 1.40, I think.

Gabriel Martinelli over 10.5 goals @ 1.85.

I think Arsenal will be strong, and I think Gabriel Martinelli will continue to improve and thrive under Mikel Arteta’s leadership. The Gunners shouldn’t be weaker going forward this year, and after scoring 88 goals last season, there’s a very good chance that the player with the greatest ability to only think goals, will score 11 or more. Saka is clearly a top player, but he’s more interested in linking up and finding a teammate if possible. Martinelli, on the other hand, can be a bit “selfish” at times and go for goal himself. I think this is a very good bet as well.

Manchester United to make the top 4 @ 1.73.

It’s not a very nice price, but I like what Manchester United are doing in the transfer market. Marcus Rashford is surely in the form of his life, I like the signing of Mason Mount, Garnacho will continue to make strides as a player, Bruno Fernandes is reliable, Casemiro is still a colossus in the centre of midfield, and Jaydon Sancho looks very sharp.

My only concern is at the back, where I’m one of the people who’s not sold on Onana yet. I’m also worried about their defence if Lisandro or Varane are injured. 

My main reasoning for this bet is that Newcastle are in the Champions League (obviously, so are Man United, but they are definitely more used to it), so that lethargy and fatigue may creep in if they go places in the tournament. I think City and Arsenal are nailed on for top 4, so I’m interested to see what happens behind them with Liverpool, Newcastle, Chelsea and Spurs. I think Man United will snatch a top 4 spot, also this season.

Premier League top scorer: Marcus Rashford @ 17.00.

It probably won’t happen, but I’m betting on a couple of factors here, such as:

• Harry Kane is sold.
• Rashford continues like he’s performed under Ten Hag.

I’m “bullish” on Rashford. Whether he plays on the wing or as a striker, he’s usually lethal. He has a lot of pace, great ability to time his runs, and can score goals in different ways. I’d wish that Unibet had offered odds for him to score 25+, because I think a top scorer in the PL will need to score 25+, maybe 30+. 

Chelsea over 57.5 goals @ 1.85.

This is actually my biggest bet of this Premier League Outrights and of this season, by far. There’s no debate about Chelsea’s horrendous 22/23 season, but I think that’s the exact reason why we get so much juice out of this bet. The only time Chelsea FC have scored under 57.5 goals in a Premier League season (besides last year) was in 1999/00. It’s incredibly rare, in other words. 

If we look through their team, I think there’s a lot of fascinating offensive players with unique attributes. Nkunku from RB Leipzig should be a solid signing, and Nicolas Jackson has looked lethal in pre-season. Ian Maatsen has returned from his loan and been more involved in the friendlies. Madueke will continue to improve, and I think the same is true for Mikhailo Mudryk on the wing. Raheem Sterling doesn’t get any younger, but is still a fairly decent player for a top 10 side in the league.

At the back, it’s expected that Pochettino will play with a back four, with Chilwell and James on each full back. That’s very attacking, and I’d be amazed if the Blues from West London score less than 65 goals this season. They are a team in transition, but goals shouldn’t be their main concern in a league where I think that there’s 11 pretty weak teams trying to avoid relegation.

Mohammed Salah over 9.5 assists @ 1.85.

Another one that I’d be amazed to not see be a winner as part of this Premier League Outrights. Worth mentioning that Salah has had 12 assists in his last eight games, counting friendlies. I think we’ll see more of the same from Liverpool this season, potentially reverting back to their good old selves after a difficult 22/23 campaign. They have lots of attacking options, but Salah tends to play most of it – even though they have the luxury of rotating. I think Salah’s assist making ability is very underestimated, and that his age will see him become more of a playmaker than an all-out goal scoring machine. He’s had 12 and 13 assists in his last two seasons, so I don’t see any reason why he’d be any poorer now. Darwin, Mac Allister, Gakpo, Jota, etc., will give him plenty to aim for in the box.

Brentford under 46.5 points @ 1.91.

The Bees are without Ivan Toney for some months, have performed better than their budget suggests, and are due to have a little dip in form. 46 points would have been enough for 11th place last year, and I think Brentford will be pleased with another season in the PL. I expect them to finish between 35-45 points.

Brentford to be relegated @ 9.00

For the same reasons that I mentioned above in this Premier League Outrights. Obviously I don’t think they’ll go down, but I do think that it’s closer at the bottom than many think. Luton shouldn’t be as much of a helpless ragdoll as many make them out to be. They are used to not having the ball, so don’t write them off just yet. 

Crystal Palace to be relegated @ 8.00.

Palace have not done a lot of transfer business in the summer, and are – like Brentford – due to have a dip beneath the standard that we’ve gotten used to. I can see a season where they struggle for goals and simply go down due to a lack of creativity and attacking prowess. It’s tight at the bottom, and I think a team like Palace are more likely to go down than what the bookies think. Losing Zaha is a big blow for them.

Wolverhampton Wanderers to be relegated @ 4.25

Just like with Palace, I fear that Wolves are sleepwalking toward relegation. They’ve lost Nathan Collins, Ruben Neves, Raul Jimenez and Joao Moutinho (including others) and have not really replaced them. Julen Loptegui is the most likely manager to get sacked first, so I think this price is too generous.

That concludes my annual Premier League Outrights betting preview. Make sure to stay tuned for my preview for the opening round as well!

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